[OC] Jared Goff is the median player selected at #1 overall in the draft. Here is the list of median players at picks 1-32

I thought this might add a different perspective on what to expect with each pick in the first round. Who is the player in the exact center, with 50% of players above and 50% of players below for each spot? I'm using the formula AV Share / expected AV Share to derive the median player. For more detail on AV Share, I attempt to explain it in this post. This is based on data from 2000-2020 (n=21 for each draft spot).

Here is the median pick for all 32 spots in round 1:

https://preview.redd.it/76im954qau771.png?width=868&format=png&auto=webp&s=c85d381e7b54c75e5779a8f8217e68d236042b4c

Edit: because I’ve seen some comments about the methodology and use of AV, here is a partial description from my post that I link to at the top:

I have taken each player’s Career Weighted AV and divided it by the sum of all AV from that player’s draft to come up with a new metric, AV Share. Here are two examples:

Tom Brady was drafted in 2000. He currently has a career weighted AV of 180. The sum of all players from his draft has a career AV of 4,568. His AV Share is 3.94% (180/4,568). This is the highest going back to where my data begins (2000).

Lamar Jackson was drafted in 2018. He has a career weighted AV of 47 so far. The sum of all players from his draft has a career AV of 2,094. His AV Share is 2.24% (47/2,094).

For the purpose of analyzing the draft. This allows me to use AV Share for active players, retired players, and even players with one year in the league. It wouldn’t be a good analysis if I use Jackson’s AV of 47 compared to Brady’s 180. However, comparing Brady’s 3.94% to Jackson’s 2.24% is a reasonable comparison.