Huwebes, Agosto 5, 2021

Offseason Review Series: Kansas City Chiefs


Chiefs

Division: AFC West

2019 record: 14-2 (my 2020 Prediction 14-2)

Lost Super Bowl LV

Head Coach: Andy Reid

O-Coordinator: Eric Bieniemy

D-Coordinator: Steve Spagnuolo

I actually got a message this year asking why a Patriots fan is doing the chiefs write up, I went to Texas Tech so I'm well acquainted with Patrick Mahomes and they're my 2nd favorite AFC team. I signed up for the non fan review the past 2 years and both times the fan writer dropped out. Since I've done the full review the past 2 years I've just become the fulltime chiefs writer and there is nothing you milk-drinking nerds can do about it.


Coaching Changes

Running Backs Coach: Deland McCullough ❌/ Greg Lewis ✔

Outside Linebackers Coach: Britt Reid(Terrible Human Being) ❌/ Ken Flajole ✔

Wide receivers Coach: Greg Lewis ❌/ Joe Bleymaier ✔

Assistant Quarterbacks Coach: Joe Bletmaier ❌/ David Giradi ✔

Offensive Quality Control: David Giradi ❌/ Connor Embree ✔

Defensive Assistant: Connor Embree ❌/ Donald D'Alesio ✔

Basically a bunch of movement in titles, Deland McCullough accepting a job at Indiana and removing garbage.


Free Agency

Players lost/cut

Player Position New team
Leveon Bell RB Free Agent
Bashaud Breeland CB Vikings
Alex Brown CB Lions
Eric Fisher OT Colts
Antonio Hamilton CB Buccaneers
Daniel Kilgore C Free Agent
Tanoh Kpassagnon DE Saints
Kelechi Osemele OG Free Agent
Mike Pennel DT Bears
Martinas Rankin OT Free Agent
Austin Reiter C Free Agent
Mitchell Schwartz OT Free Agent
Sammy Watkins WR Ravens
Damien Williams RB Bears
Damien Wilson LB Jaguars
Bryan Witzmann G Free Agent
Deon Yelder TE Free Agent
Anthony Sherman FB Retirement

Players signed

So the past 2 years I've spent a ridiculous amount of time on this section and this year in particular they have a ton of players that are on low salary 1 year deals so I've decided that I'm just going to shortcut this section. If you're at all interested the list of newly signed players are here and contract details can be found here. So for this section I'm just going to talk about the players coming in who are noteworthy.

Player Position Old Team Length Salary
Kyle Long OG Bears 1 Year 1.5M .4MG
Joe Thuney OG Patriots 5 Year $90M $46.89MG
Jarran Reed DT Seahawks 1 Year $5.5M 1MG

Trades

Chiefs Receive Ravens Receive
Orlando Brown Chiefs 2021 1st
Ravens 2021 2nd Chiefs 2021 3rd
Ravens 2021 6th Chiefs 2021 4th
Chiefs 2021 6th
Chiefs Receive Vikings Receive
Mike Hughes Chiefs 2022 6th
Vikings 2022 7th

Basically The entire O-line

Replacing your entire offensive line is not usually the most sound strategy for winning football but it honestly seems warranted here. I think they might be the only team in the NFL with 5 new starters at each of their O-line spots which is spooky and I think early in the year we may see some struggles in protections. 2 of the Lineman haven't played football in more than a year, Lucas Niang and Laurent Duvernay-Tardif(great human being) both Opt-outs last year. 2 really great players but only acquired this year, Orlando Brown and Joe Thuney but you're going to need to sign Brown to a long-term extension this year and Thuney is already making a huge amount over the next 5 years. The center starter on paper is 2nd round pick Creed Humphrey or Austin Blythe who is just ok. Kyle Long is a piece I'm not sure where he fits, I think LDT will start at RG but it's pretty up in the air who will be starting. My philosophy when it comes to O-line is that you're literally only as good as your weakest piece which I think will be whoever plays center this year. I'm pretty certain this is a B overall o-line who is going to start the season at a D or a C as they kinda get their "sea-legs" and get comfortable with their new team.

A necessary but scary B

Jarran Reed

This was a surprise and I'm sure he got offers for more money but he's a great run stopping DT who will make the great Chris Jones' job easier.

A+

Mike Hughes

Low cost veteran but this is not a very impactful move.

C+

Sammy Watkins

Sammy was a good receiver on the chiefs when he was healthy. He was almost never healthy.

A+

Anthony Sherman

As a Patriots fan I've had to deal with the loss of James Develin where Bill has tried literally everything to try and find a replacement, including just slotting in linebackers at fullback. Ask any non-casual Chiefs fan and you'll know how big of a loss this is.

Sad/10


Draft

Round Number Player Position School
2 58 Nick Bolton LB Missouri
2 63 Creed Humphrey C Oklahoma
4 144 Joshua Kaindoh DE Florida State
5 162 Noah Gray TE Duke
5 181 Cornell Powell WR Clemson
6 226 Trey Smith G Tennessee

Nick Bolton

Bolton is a slower than average LB but he was highly productive in college, especially in the run game. He's a very prototypical inside linebacker but his lack of top end speed could be a detriment when trying to tackle speedier backs.

B+

Creed Humphrey

This is a great pick, he was the Big 12 lineman of the year 2 years in a row and the only reason he dropped is because he doesn't necessarily have elite lateral speed or overwhelming strength but I always value production over those things and he had that in droves in college.

A

Joshua Kaindoh

He has ideal size and average speed but this pick will basically be all about health.

B-

Noah Grey

Lack of production in college but has great size and speed.

C

Cornell Powell

Good stats in his one year with significant play, but didn't beat out any upperclassman while he was a freshman or sophomore. Not a significantly impressive athlete but he should be pretty reasonable depth.

C+

Trey Smith

Not really much I can say about him, he's a later round guard from Tennessee. Probably fine.

Probably fine/10

Trey Smith was considered to be a ~3rd round pick with the reason that he dropped was because of some health concerns. As a 6th round pick this is excellent as he could be very good and even just getting a starter in the 6th is way above average.

A+

Undrafted Players

Player Position School
Zayne Anderson S BYU
Dicaprio Bootle CB Nebraska
Shane Buechele QB SMU
Marlon Character CB Louisville
Riley Cole LB South Alabama
Malik Herring DE Georgia
Devon Key S Western Kentucky
Jaylon McClain-Sapp CB Marshall
Manny Patterson CB Maine

Projected Starting Lineup

  • Patrick Mahomes QB
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
  • Michael Burton FB
  • Travis Kelce and Blake Bell TEs
  • Tyreek Hill Mecole Hardman Demarcus Robinson WRs
  • Orlando Brown LT
  • Joe Thuney LG
  • Austin Blythe/Creed Humphrey C
  • Laurent Duvernay-Tardif/Kyle Long RG
  • Lucas Niang RT
  • Alex Okafor Chris Jones Jarran Reed Frank Clark DL
  • Anthony Hitchens Willie Gay Jr. Nick Bolton LB
  • L'Jarius Sneed Charvarius Ward Deandre Baker CBs
  • Daniel Sorensen Tyrann Mathieu S
  • Harrison Butker K
  • Tommy Townsend P
  • Byron Pringle KR
  • Mecole Hardman PR

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes is good at football.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

CED was a great piece for the Chiefs last year but the addition of Leveon Bell really screwed me over in my fantasy league.

Travis Kelce

If there is still anyone that claims that Kittle is the best tight end in the league just remind them who over the past 7 years has only missed two games and who has missed eleven games over the past 4. Availability is the most important thing in the league.

Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill is fast and good at football.

Orlando Brown

Orlando Brown is a great player, a 1st is a lot to give up but if he is the perennial pro bowler as it looks like he will be this will be well worth it.

L'jarrus Sneed

He was excellent last year as a rookie and will look for an expanded role this next year. Really overplayed my C+ grade last year.

Frank Clark

Clark was a key piece of this defense and will continue to be a major factor that other teams will have to worry about every week.

Tyrann Mathieu

Honey Badger had another excellent season last year and will be the center piece of this defense alongside Chris Jones.

Chris Jones

Jones is a top 5 DT in the league and if it were not for Aaron Donald he would be in the conversation for best DT in the league.


Position Group Strengths and Weaknesses

Position groups:

  • QB

Patrick Mahomes was and still is the most dangerous QB in the entire league. A+

  • Backfield

Pretty good unit but not spectacular. B

  • WR

Great overall unit. The loss of Sammy Watkins isn't great but you basically didn't have him half the time anyway. B+

  • TE

Travis Kelce is the best TE in the league and that means this spot is probably the best in the league. No for sure number 2 but that doesn't really matter. A+

  • OL

I talked about this earlier but this will be a little question mark. Great talent but need to see how they mesh. C-(weeks 1-5) B(after that)

  • DL

The best part of this defense, solid all around and it will be tough to run on the Chiefs. A-

  • LB

Not a great group but they are pretty young and we will see how they perform as the season progresses. C-

  • Secondary

I've been pretty negative the last couple years but this group honestly isn't bad, nothing special overall but definitely not a weakness. B-

  • Special Teams

Great all around. A-


Schedule Predictions

Chiefs vs Cleveland Browns

I can't believe I'm predicting this but I think this game is going to be pretty close. They have an excellent D-line and if my prediction that the chiefs oline will struggle early this will be a pretty tough game. Flip a coin.

Chiefs @ Ravens

Ravens are good but the chiefs are definitely better at QB WR TE DL and the Ravens are only definitely better at LB and CB. Plus Reid is better than Harbaugh. Chiefs win.

Chiefs vs Chargers

Chargers are pretty interesting young team but this is still easily a chiefs win. Expect spags to bring the heat on Herbert. Chiefs win.

Chiefs @ Eagles

I'm sure I'll get some flak but I think the Eagles might be the worst team in the league if Jalen Hurt isn't good. Chiefs win.

Chiefs vs Bills

Bills are good but Mahomes is better than Allen. I feel like I should have more to say but I don't, Chiefs are just the better overall team. Chiefs win.

Chiefs @ Football Team

I think this will be closer than people expect but this is still a Chiefs win.

Chiefs @ Titans

Titans are great and are on paper one of the best teams in the AFC but the Chiefs have a better overall team. Chiefs win.

Chiefs vs Giants

I'm pretty certain Daniel Jones isn't going to have a Josh Allen transformation. Chiefs win

Chiefs vs Packers

Packers are great but there is a blueprint for how to beat the which is to control the flow of the game and be aggressive. If they can stop Aaron Jones that'll be the key. Flip a coin.

Chiefs @ Raiders

Raiders have a fun offense but that defense will still be one of the worst in the league. Chiefs win.

Chiefs vs Cowboys

Just like the Raiders the Cowboys are fun on offense but will still not be great on defense. Chiefs win.

Chiefs vs Broncos

Broncos are definitely more interesting than last year but they're still not as good as the chiefs and this is off of a bye. Chiefs win.

Chiefs vs Raider

Basically the same as above. Chiefs win.

Chiefs @ Chargers

Same as above and basically still at home. Chiefs win

Chiefs vs Steelers

I think the Steelers might not be very good this year, but I've been wrong before. Tomlin is a great coach but Ben is going to be an issue for this team and it will be not easy to hide his flaws. Chiefs win

Chiefs @ Bengals

Bengals will be better than last year but are still a year or two away from contention. Chiefs win.

Chiefs @ Broncos

Same as above but higher up. Chiefs win

Final tally 15-2

I'm going to hedge and say that you win one of the 2 coin flips and a random game you should probably win so 15-2 is my final tally.


Training Camp Battles to watch

Basically who will end up starting Center and Right guard as both of those positions are up for grabs.


Discuss Offensive and Defensive Schemes

West Coast

The west coast offense is a pass first offense that utilizes speed and WR cuts to disrupt game flow. The west coast offense uses shot gun heavily and was first popularized by Bill Walsh during the 80's while he was the head coach of the 49ers.

Base 4-3

Base 4-3 uses 4 Lineman and 3 Linebackers in their base packages as opposed to using the reverse in a 3-4 scheme.


Final Thoughts

Chiefs are great and will be the on paper best team in the AFC. They have a great opportunity to repeat as AFC champions but can they make that super bowl win into a dynasty, only time will tell.

I upload pretty infrequently to my youtube channel about various random NFL stuff but I'm going to be making a video about the time a NBA legend sued an NFL player and he changed his name because of it. I know basically no one made it to this point but a subscribe really means a lot and I only upload NFL related stuff.

thanks, love you go pats Chiefs

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